Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.031259 0.033635 0.036014 0.038570 0.041237 0.043933 0.046862
2025-10-12 0.026680 0.030429 0.034313 0.038621 0.043252 0.048065 0.053430
2025-10-19 0.023717 0.028291 0.033155 0.038677 0.044738 0.051158 0.058440
2025-10-26 0.022334 0.027615 0.033346 0.039969 0.047356 0.055288 0.064400
2025-11-02 0.020569 0.026328 0.032698 0.040182 0.048650 0.057859 0.068553
2025-11-09 0.018912 0.025023 0.031909 0.040123 0.049540 0.059896 0.072041
2025-11-16 0.017345 0.023710 0.031011 0.039849 0.050107 0.061505 0.074992
2025-11-23 0.015913 0.022464 0.030112 0.039498 0.050521 0.062886 0.077638
2025-11-30 0.014723 0.021439 0.029410 0.039321 0.051085 0.064397 0.080397
2025-12-07 0.013362 0.020124 0.028292 0.038590 0.050950 0.065061 0.082151
2025-12-14 0.011975 0.018697 0.026972 0.037555 0.050401 0.065202 0.083262
2025-12-21 0.010932 0.017657 0.026083 0.036997 0.050383 0.065930 0.085024
2025-12-28 0.010671 0.017711 0.026653 0.038355 0.052821 0.069724 0.090588
2026-01-04 0.009805 0.016924 0.026146 0.038387 0.053682 0.071705 0.094103
2026-01-11 0.009030 0.016207 0.025686 0.038441 0.054544 0.073669 0.097586
2026-01-18 0.008804 0.016243 0.026202 0.039728 0.056926 0.077457 0.103243
2026-01-25 0.008196 0.015689 0.025901 0.039940 0.057951 0.079598 0.106930
2026-02-01 0.007542 0.015023 0.025414 0.039881 0.058614 0.081284 0.110062
2026-02-08 0.006870 0.014283 0.024787 0.039608 0.058982 0.082593 0.112728
2026-02-15 0.006229 0.013543 0.024126 0.039259 0.059228 0.083733 0.115178
2026-02-22 0.005692 0.012929 0.023612 0.039082 0.059677 0.085109 0.117905
2026-03-01 0.005040 0.012078 0.022718 0.038354 0.059384 0.085544 0.119464
2026-03-08 0.004366 0.011128 0.021632 0.037323 0.058661 0.085414 0.120309